Thursday, April 30, 2009
Leadership deficit
Courtesy: AMEET DHAKAL
Monday, April 27, 2009
Will Maoists agree to UML ‘face saver’?
By Anand Gurung
As the ruling Unified CPN (Maoist) appears intent on booting its former nemesis Chief of Army Staff Rookmangud Katawal and has intensified parleys with key coalition partner CPN-UML and main opposition Nepali Congress to convince them for his sacking, the nation has plunged into a deep political crisis which can have adverse effect on the army integration, statute drafting and, as a result, the entire peace process.
Firstly, it is becoming very difficult for the Maoists to garner national consensus in their favour on the spat between the government and the army chief. To remove CoAS Katawal it must take political parties - mainly Nepali Congress - into confidence. However, that seems a far cry as the second largest party in the CA has already made it clear that it will not tolerate any interference in the national army. As a proof of its commitment on the matter, NC (with the support of 16 fringe parties in the CA) has continued to obstruct the Legislature-Parliament sessions since the controversy surfaced following government's decision to seek clarification from the Army chief, warning further that it will keep adjourning the House until the government backs out from its plan.
UML, however, has opted more of a "middle path" as the party's leadership remains clearly divided over the Maoists plan to sack the Army chief. Stressing the need to resolve the Govt-Army row on the basis of national consensus, the third largest party in the CA has offered a way out to resolve the issue which seems sort of a face-saver for both the Maoists and themselves. As per it, UML wants both CoAS Katawal and the Maoist choice to replace him, Lt General Kul Bahadur Khadka, to resign and make way for General Chhatra Man Singh Gurung, who is third-in-line in the army chain-of-command, to become the new CoAS. In return, UML also wants to see Maoist Defense Minister Ram Bahadur Thapa resign from his post, to make it appear that the government has taken similar action against its own minister for letting the row go out of hand.
The UML formula may be acceptable to all the parties to the controversy. Not only the Maoist-led government will appear to have taken action against its disobedient army chief, but will also for the first time not look to have backed out from a many major decision it has taken in the past, like for instance, the Pashupatinath incident has shown where it had to withdraw its decision to replace the Indian head priest with a Nepali one.
Similarly, Prime Minister Pushpa Kamal Dahal will also be able to show his party cadres that they have taken action against the chief of their former rivals for refusing to obey government orders and especially for being against the former Maoist combatants entry into the Nepal Army by calling them "politically indoctrinated".
On the other hand, the plan could be agreeable to NC too because it would not be in the interest to appear as obstructing the House sessions on every government move and delay the constitution writing process when removal of General Khadka, who it views as the Maoist man in the army, along with Army chief Katawal might assure it for that the Maoist aim of capturing state power by taking Nepal Army under its control has been quashed for the time being.
But most of all, the "face-saving" formula will also work for the UML as it will make the party appear cooperative towards the government of which it is an important constituent while at the same time bolster its role, like some analysts puts it, as the moderate centrist "problem-solver", an image it was to create for itself when the mantle of the mainstream communist party has already been snatched from it by the Maoists.
However, observers see little possibility of Maoist agreeing to the UML proposal, as it offers only a "face-saver" to it amidst intense national and international (read Indian) pressure to back away from its plan, but no real advantage as far as its long term political ambitions is concerned.
General Khadka had, according to some reports, been lobbying hard with the Maoist leadership since many months to become the new Army chief because, though he was second-in-line in the army chain-of-command, he was retiring before CoAS Katawal completed his full tenure of three years. To appear as a favourable candidate for the post, he had agreed to ease the integration of all 19,000 Maoist combatants in the Army, give plum post of brigadier to Maoist deputy commanders including Major General for PLA commander Nanda Kishor Pun, stop new recruitments in the Army for a while and other considerations as per the liking of the Maoist leadership.
But according to retired Army General Pradip Pratap Bam Malla, the plan of sacking the Army chief will only add more fuel to fire and may even prove disastrous for the country in the long run.
When asked if by "disastrous" he meant that the army will stage a coup, he says there's little possibility of that as Nepal Army will require both foreign backing and sizable public support before it takes such a serious step.
"As there are no chances of Nepal Army getting either of those, the coup talks are baseless," Malla says. "But what I am saying is that, the move of removing the Army chief will humiliate the national army so much that it will have multiplier negative effect on the long term security interest of the country."
He says that an amicable solution to the problem should be found.
"For the Army chief being issued a clarification letter is in itself some degree of punishment and I believe the government should stop at that," Malla says. "In normal times, the government could have sacked the Army chief easily with the least protest, but these are not normal times and trampling with the army in these times is surely not advisable."
Courtesy: nepalnews.com, April 27, 2009.
UML proposes to dismiss Defence Minister Thapa, CoAS Katwal, Lt. Gen Khadka
In the meeting of the top guns of the two major ruling parties held at the Prime Minister's official residence at Baluwatar today morning, the UML said that all three controversial figures should be relieved from their duties to solve the present political crisis.
Saying Minister Thapa could not prove himself politically and administratively competent to handle the Defence Ministry, the major ally of the Maoist-led coalition UML asked the Maoist leadership to pull him out from the Cabinet.
Moreover, the UML also proposed to appoint Lt Gen Chhatra Man Gurung, third-in-line in the Nepal Army, the CoAS to resolve the controversy regarding the NA command.
“It will be a viable option to bid farewell to the two top controversial figures --CoAS Katawal and Lt. Gen. Khadka-- in the army and look for a third person to lead instead,” said the UML source.
However, the Maoist leadership refused the UML proposal and said that it is firm on taking action against CoAS Katawal.
Prime Minister Pushpa Kamal asked the UML to back him to oust CoAS Katawal.
Only yesterday, the UML Standing Committee had decided not to support the Maoist plan to replace the Army Chief by the second-in-command (Lt. Gen Khadka), but said the party would facilitate other options, also acceptable to the main opposition Nepali Congress (NC).